When the Seattle Seahawks visit the Washington Commanders in Week 9 of the 2025 NFL season, the matchup carries more than just another notch in the schedule. With Seattle sitting at 5-2 and looking to solidify their NFC West position, and Washington at 3-5 battling to stay in the playoff conversation, this game presents meaningful implications. According to pre-game odds, Seattle is a slight favourite (-2.5 to -3) and the over/under has been set around 48.5 points.
In this article, we break down the picks, key factors, prop bets, dark horse players and final recommendation for the Seahawks‐Commanders clash.
Betting Lines & Odds Overview
Before locking in any picks, it’s essential to understand the market.
- Spread: Seahawks −2.5 (some books at −3) vs Commanders +2.5/+3.5.
- Moneyline: Seahawks about −150 to −175; Commanders about +130 to +140.
- Total Points (Over/Under): Around 48.5 points.
Knowing how the market views the game helps contextualize value and risk.
Why the Seahawks Are the Favourable Side
Seattle’s edge stems from several angles:
- Offensively, the Seahawks are riding momentum out of a bye week and have shown consistency. For example, quarterback Sam Darnold has posted strong numbers (68.2% completion rate, 12 TDs, 4 INTs) this season
- Defensively, the Seahawks have been stout against the run and generally sound, which matters against a Commanders side that has vulnerabilities.
- Matchup wise, Washington is missing key pieces—most notably veteran wide receiver Terry McLaurin (quad injury) is out, which limits their offensive upside.
Given these factors, taking Seattle to cover (or win straight up) appears justified.
Why the Commanders Still Have a Shot
Though underdogs, Washington can’t be dismissed:
- They get back their athletic quarterback Jayden Daniels, whose mobility and dual-threat ability give them a chance to produce an upset.
- At home in Landover, MD, the Commanders are 2-1 straight up and against the spread this season when hosting.
- Seattle’s pass defense, while competent, has allowed exploitable matchups—Washington can try to lean into that with creative schemes.
Thus, a pick on Washington +2.5/+3 might hold value for bettors seeking upside.
Key Prop Bets & Player Picks
For those who like to dive deeper into player-specific outcomes, here are some strong props:
- Sam Darnold Over 240.5 passing yards. Washington ranks only 19th in DVOA vs the pass, so Darnold should have opportunities
- Jaxon Smith‑Njigba Over 98.5 receiving yards. Seattle’s WR1 matchup is favourable given Washington’s 25th rank against WR1s by DVOA.
- Game total Under 48.5 points. Some analysts believe Seattle will control tempo and run game to limit scoring.
As always, prop bets carry extra risk; shop lines and manage stake accordingly.
Dark Horse Players to Watch
In matchups like this, sometimes the unexpected names make the difference:
- Nick Kallerup (Seahawks) – A rookie tight end who may see increased usage in 2- and 3-TE sets given Seattle’s run formations. wks) – A defensive lineman who could see more snaps if Seattle’s rotation changes due to injury.
These players are less likely to be heavily bet, which can create value for savvy trackers.
Final Pick Recommendation
Putting it all together, here’s how I lean:
- Straight Pick: Seattle Seahawks to win and cover −2.5. The combination of possession, defence, and Washington’s injuries tilt the balance in Seattle’s favour.
- Alternate/Value Pick: Washington Commanders +3 (or +3.5 if available) for under-dog value. If Daniels and friends spark early, the home team has chance to keep it close.
- Game Total: Under 48.5 points. Expect Seattle to control the clock and Washington to struggle producing big chunks.
Make sure your wager size reflects your comfort with risk and always check for the latest injury reports and line movements prior to kickoff.
Conclusion: What This Means for the Rest of the Season
For Seattle, a win here reinforces their status as serious contenders and helps cement a strong playoff position. For Washington, a loss would deepen their hole in the NFC wild-card race and raise tough questions about team health and depth.
Regardless of the result, the picks and insights above provide a roadmap for how to approach this game—whether you’re betting, doing fantasy drafts, or simply tracking team momentum. As always, use this as part of your decision-making, not the sole driver.
Analysts project a low-scoring game, with predictions around Seahawks 24 – Commanders 20, depending on player availability and weather conditions.
The Seattle Seahawks are currently favored by 2.5 to 3 points over the Washington Commanders, based on most sportsbook odds for the 2025 season matchup
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